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| Statistical analysis of housing availability in Russian regions |
Introduction. Social living conditions and related problems are one of the key indicators of the level and pace of the socio-economic development of modern society. The Russians’ standard of living is constantly on the agenda of the academic community and the Government of the Russian Federation. Accordingly, the study of the state and prospects for the development of key indicators characterizing the well-being of the population is one of the main tasks of economy. Theoretical analysis. The purpose of this study is statistical analysis and identification of the socio-economic indicators influence degree on the provision of housing for the country’s population. To achieve this goal, we used such statistical tools as tabular and graphical, coefficient, grouping method and correlation-regression analysis. Empirical analysis. The methodological approach to the statistical analysis of the population’s provision with housing corresponds to three stages of statistical research and includes formation of a system of indicators, collection and processing of actual material in spatial and time sections, as well as formation of conclusions regarding the patterns of development of the phenomenon under consideration. Results. As a result of the study, the following patterns were established: despite the population’s low standard of living and periodic shock impacts on Russian economy, the level of housing provision for the population for the period 1990–2021 is continuously increasing; the highest level of housing provision is observed in the most densely populated regions of the country, which are part of the Central Federal District and the Volga Federal District; the largest influence on the variation of the population’s provision of housing is exerted by general economic indicators, namely the level of employment and the positive dynamics of the industrial production index. The results of the study can be used to make decisions regarding the improvement of the population’s standard of living in constituent entities of the Russian Federation. |
Izv. Sarat. Univ. Economics. Management. Law, 2023, vol. 23, iss. 1 |
| Econometric Modelling of Influence of Factors on GDP of the Post-Soviet Countries |
Introduction. The processes proceeding in turbulent economy demand continuous monitoring and the analysis, it is possible to refer to those safely formation of gross domestic product in the Post-Soviet countries. A set of external and internal factors exert impact on this formation of this indicator, it is possible to measure this influence perhaps having resorted to econometric methods. Theoretical analysis. As a method of identification and measurement of dependence between variables the correlation and regression analysis is used, also in the course of the research we addressed tabular and graphic methods. Empirical analysis. The carried-out analysis of reaction of GDP on political and socio-economic factors, allows us to draw a number of conclusions: first, it is possible to state coinciding reaction of economy of the considered countries, on the crisis situations caused by political decisions (collapse of the USSR) or economic factors (world crises of 1998 and 2009); secondly, drift of set of factors of the Post-Soviet countries exerting impact on GDP (per capita) is observed; thirdly, the more time passes from the beginning of market reforms, the values of macroeconomic indicators of the countries which entered the European Union differ from other Post-Soviet countries stronger; fourthly, in all four time slices, agriculture makes the constraining impact on economic growth, and the farther from 1991, the influence of such factor as the index of human potential is shown stronger that indirectly indicates preparation for transition to digital economy. Results. Econometric modeling of difficult economic systems, in the conditions of turbulent economy is rather difficult task and it is necessary to approach it with extra care, considering all features of the Post-Soviet countries. In the research we made an attempt to create such econometric models, the received results can serve as a starting point in further researches, and the revealed regularities make a certain contribution to the theory of transitional economies. |
IZVESTIYA OF SARATOV UNIVERSITY. NEW SERIES. SERIES: ECONOMICS. MANAGEMENT. LAW. 2018. vol. 18, iss. 4 |
| The Statistical Analysis of Differentiation of The Post-Soviet Countries During Transformation of Economy |
Introduction. Process of transition of fifteen countries of ex-member of the USSR from planned economy to market, was followed by basic changes in political, economic and social life of society. Various approaches to the undertaken reforms, and opposite strategic objectives, cause the distinctions of economies of the Post-Soviet countries observed now. Theoretical analysis. Works of many domestic scientists are devoted to a problem of the analysis of results of the period of transition of the Post-Soviet countries to market economy, they divide set of the Post-Soviet countries on the basis of various grouping signs, but along with advantages of these researches it is necessary to point to one essential shortcoming contributing a subjectivity share in the received results, it is high-quality approach to formation of groups. It causes need of application of quantitative approach and first of all multidimensional group. Empirical analysis. As a result of application to fifteen Post-Soviet countries of multidimensional group (more precisely than the cluster analysis) it has been established that in entire four reference periods (1991, 1999, 2009, 2015) three groups are allocated, at the same time in the last three periods a ratio and fullness of groups it is identical that points to stabilization of set. The first group had included the countries with impressive natural and human resources, the second the republics which have changed polarity from Russia with the European Union, the USA and China. The third group is formed by the Baltic States which were a part of the European Union and at the expense of it have considerably increased a separation from other Post-Soviet countries that is substantially shown in such indicator as GDP per capita. Conclution. Quarter of the century of development of the Post-Soviet countries out of the Soviet Union was led to their considerable deformation on the level of political and social and economic development. The republics which had good positions on the natural and human capital at the beginning of transition that it has allowed them to be integrated into global economy have achieved considerable progress. The Baltic States which were a part of the European Union and substantially, the improved macroeconomic indicators are also obviously allocated. |
IZVESTIYA OF SARATOV UNIVERSITY. NEW SERIES. SERIES: ECONOMICS. MANAGEMENT. LAW. 2018. vol. 18, iss. 3 |